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The sluggish technology industry may also affect the economic growth. DBS estimated that Taiwan’s economic growth rate in 4Q18 may be only 1.8%, below the expectation of 2.1%. DBS revised down Taiwan’s GDP growth forecast in FY19 from 2.2% to 1.9%.
The market usually blames the slowdown of technology industry’s growth to the US-China trade war. However, Tieying Ma, a senior economist at DBS, believes that the slowdown of technology industry’s growth both in Taiwan and South Korea is due to structural impacts, including market saturation of smart phone, product maturity and cross-brand competition, and the sluggish demand in China’s market.
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